The purpose of this site is to share results of a trading system that I use for identifying both long-term and short-term trading opportunities. I take the time to do this because of my passion for investing and helping others succeed. The system helped me avoid the "Crash of 2007/2008" and every major correction since then. The cornerstone of my trading system are analyses of market liquidity to gauge longer-term market sentiment and equity and index options (put/call ratios) to identify short-term entry and exits.

This site is for information purposes only. Past performance of the trading system is not a guarantee of its future success. Please consider consulting a qualified investment adviser before making investment decisions.



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Monday, January 13, 2014

Preparing for more downside

Since going to a 50% equity position on January 6, I continue to see weakness that corresponds with the macro indicators I follow (e.g., commitment of traders, weekly RSI).  I wouldn't be surprised, however, to see a rally to what I believe will be a intermediate peak sometime between January 16 and 28.  I will be using my options model to assess when I pull the next trigger which will be a reduction of my equity position to 33% that's comprised of a mix of 11% alpha/core and 22% dividend paying/low volatility ETFs -- a "defensive" 33% mix.  Please note that this 33% equity position is the lowest level that I plan to go to for my long-term portfolio during the anticipated weak period from February to May.  I've already taken profits on my cash (trading) account.

More later on the timing of the next move.