The purpose of this site is to share results of a trading system that I use for identifying both long-term and short-term trading opportunities. I take the time to do this because of my passion for investing and helping others succeed. The system helped me avoid the "Crash of 2007/2008" and every major correction since then. The cornerstone of my trading system are analyses of futures and equity and index options.

If you are an investor, there's no need to concern yourself with the short-term trades that I discuss. The notes in the left-hand pane will provide you with my high-level outlook for the calendar year and for the next 12 months. The left pane will also contain alerts about possible intermediate-term reversals to help you make timely decisions for rebalancing your portolio, taking profits, or putting new money to work.

If you are a short-term trader, I will detail in my blog posts ideas for going long and short the S&P indices to capitalize on the aforementioned reversals.

This site is for information purposes only. Past performance of the trading system is not a guarantee of its future success. Please consider consulting a qualified investment adviser before making investment decisions.



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Wednesday, March 25, 2015

Took cash off the table

With the market not acting in step with the indicators I follow, I decided to jump ship at S&P 2077 and go to cash (in my cash account). Not touching my IRA just yet.

Wednesday, March 18, 2015

The Fed made me do it

With the anticipation that the Fed would make a significant change to its guidance, I deployed 50% of sidelined cash this morning.

Tuesday, March 10, 2015

So where do we go

In looking at the charts from a long-term perspective and applying trendlines and fibonacci analyses, the market might gravitate toward 1940. Holding 1940 will keep the bull market intact. The 1940 level also represents a confluence of fib retracements -- a region where the market might fall back to. I'll be posting more often as I need to shake off my complacency and "play" the market more aggressively in hopes of profiting from what I believe to be good entry points that I've identified in the past.

Forced to Sell

With an intra-day break of 2064 (ATR4), I sold 75% of core positions which according to my allocation, still affords me an equity exposure of 50%. To belabor my mistakes, I ignored (again), my short-term indicator which gave me a warning on 3/3....the dangers of complacency.

Thursday, January 22, 2015

Fully invested

With the intra-day break above ATR3 stop at 2063, I invested the remaining idle cash near the close.