The purpose of this site is to share results of a trading system that I use for identifying both long-term and short-term trading opportunities. I take the time to do this because of my passion for investing and helping others succeed. The system helped me avoid the "Crash of 2007/2008" and every major correction since then. The cornerstone of my trading system are analyses of market liquidity to gauge longer-term market sentiment and equity and index options (put/call ratios) to identify short-term entry and exits.

This site is for information purposes only. Past performance of the trading system is not a guarantee of its future success. Please consider consulting a qualified investment adviser before making investment decisions.



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Thursday, January 31, 2019

Data trickling in

With the government now open, the commitment of traders data I use to gauge fund flows will resume its publication each Friday.  However, based on an update that I got today, the agency responsible for releasing the data won't get caught up with its backlog until March 8 -- the data they plan to release this Friday will only be for the period ending December 25.  To expedite the process, they plan to publish reports on Tuesday and Friday (rather than just Friday) until they are current.  As usual, I'll update my market indicator as the data comes in and post any important details on this blog.

Thursday, January 17, 2019

Riding the wave but now in the dark

I "stuck to my guns" during the recent correction as I didn't note any evidence of a possible bear market from my indicator.  With that said, I'm now in the "dark."  Because of the government shutdown,  the Chicago Mercantile Exchange has ceased publishing its Commitment of Trader's data that I use.  As I mentioned in my prior posts, I see a positive bias going into the Spring of 2019, but without the Commitment of Trader's data, I cannot confirm whether or not the "peak" exhibited by my indicator portends a bear market (S&P 500).  As usual, if I make any trading decisions, with or without this important data, I will let you know.
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